SAM analytical projects
Work built on the Reference-Data archive. Each project keeps its data and its numbers in its own repository; this section is where the findings are read.
Current
Vote Safe preliminary
Differential electoral participation by race at precinct level, 2024 general election. Six focus areas across eight counties in four states.
2026 Midterms
County turnout and election results, 2010–2024: how well SAM's county model predicted them, by state, election and county, and each county's 2026 probability for the Senate, House and governor races.
Where the data comes from
Every project here derives from Reference-Data, the archive of cleaned, standardised, analysis-ready reference data and the validation battery that scores it. Projects acquire no data of their own: if a figure appears in a project, the holding behind it is registered and validated in the archive first.